Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 335.194693 379.368824 428.225682 486.449422 554.178420 630.755154 724.277830
2025-11-16 267.841685 325.715253 395.384642 486.158139 602.364515 747.573100 945.010403
2025-11-23 228.005998 290.523095 370.091830 480.167544 630.672573 832.461086 1128.992161
2025-11-30 203.083958 268.650016 355.945816 482.814975 666.101598 927.036091 1337.307083
2025-12-07 180.443365 246.098558 336.803255 474.139936 681.973245 993.443519 1512.914451
2025-12-14 163.775786 229.456833 323.218243 470.495379 702.959718 1068.199075 1711.891987
2025-12-21 145.975128 209.098543 301.684735 451.650946 696.934916 1098.206561 1840.090971
2025-12-28 139.071959 203.982313 302.001046 466.139497 745.271038 1222.822631 2154.577383
2026-01-04 133.883072 200.820827 304.737957 484.404416 801.716574 1368.994054 2536.894328
2026-01-11 125.889238 192.447780 298.238270 486.229063 829.300921 1466.727707 2843.260184
2026-01-18 116.407703 180.838309 285.318858 475.397468 832.242156 1517.940267 3062.601380
2026-01-25 108.200707 170.635228 273.799695 465.696664 835.793780 1570.300981 3294.238232
2026-02-01 104.282662 167.403779 274.053144 477.761193 883.590182 1721.265512 3789.297402
2026-02-08 98.537755 160.612468 267.527483 476.495909 904.792663 1820.070919 4184.430119
2026-02-15 92.682797 153.160955 259.151690 470.698840 915.719361 1897.790405 4544.753838
2026-02-22 88.561951 148.445146 255.300032 473.282048 944.555230 2020.591156 5056.082539
2026-03-01 83.320917 141.332279 246.425141 464.807401 948.064717 2084.195821 5418.694687
2026-03-08 79.153561 135.887802 240.254915 461.246766 962.090753 2175.691274 5888.155247
2026-03-15 73.524308 127.373055 227.586312 442.834522 939.633265 2171.738238 6064.090844
2026-03-22 72.118926 126.681586 230.042631 456.991051 995.807197 2381.562288 6987.938866
2026-03-29 71.163265 126.765846 234.010799 474.834901 1063.457142 2635.542877 8149.475140
2026-04-05 68.566096 123.494514 230.957557 476.617333 1091.193446 2783.427437 8985.573436
2026-04-12 64.920342 117.942482 222.840896 466.035939 1085.772912 2834.295281 9474.432285